Posts Tagged ‘Discounted room rates’

Price prediction and rate dicscipline for hotels

September 6th, 2010

Revenue Management is in many occasion confused with strategic pricing. It is a part of the revenue management practices but you cannot rely only on your strategic pricing plan. You need constantly update yourself with relevant information, if possible daily.  Besides this information stream you need to apply rate discipline in your drive to maximize revenue. (not to be confused with maximize occupancy)  Your goals as you have set in your strategic pricing plan, the forecasted rates, are very important indicator to evaluate your strategies success.

As little as ten years ago, the best, most recent information available about competitors’ rates came out in quarterly Smith Travel Research reports, or we discovered through call-around rates, GDS and rack brochure rates. Now, that data is constantly available and readily accessible – and I don’t mean in call-arounds. Likewise, price and rate prediction could only be achieved by consulting historical tables; rate discipline and its effects on brand identity and future room sales was barely considered two decades ago. Today however, the best revenue management systems employ sophisticated algorithms to generate optimal prices.

Rate Discipline
Rate discipline often comes up in reference to discounting. The theory holds that deep discounts implemented to boost occupancy or stimulate demand will negatively effect the hotel’s brand image. As mentioned, sometimes this practice can run contrary to other important aims, and sacrificing occupancy to maintain strict rate discipline can be as financially irresponsible as knee-jerk discounting. The best practice, then, is to dynamically adjust rates based on demand, without going too far in either direction.

The primary effect of rate discipline is felt on the hotel’s brand. Associations between price and quality are natural for consumers to make, and perceived quality is a central component to any hotel’s brand image. Therefore, a rate discount negatively affects a hotel’s brand.

This effect is real, and cannot be dismissed. Brands have immense value. According to a 2002 Interbrand study, brand value accounts for approximately 38% of the value of the companies that own them. If discounting is damaging to a hotel’s brand, and maintaining one static rate is equally detrimental to RevPAR and occupancy, then the solution lies in variable rate, modified in real-time to best match demand conditions. This eliminates the either-or quandary of whether or not to engage in across-the board discounting. Instead, the highest rate likely to generate a sale is presented to the right customer at the right time. This is achievable through the use of advanced revenue management systems, the best of which will also optimize page position on OTAs, manage multiple sales channels, and manage room inventory. To maximize occupancy and rate, however, automation is key. Rates must be modified subtly, in real-time, to avoid the pitfalls of wide-scale discounting.

In the end, just because a hotel offers a particular rate doesn’t necessarily mean a consumer will take that rate. Rate discipline through dynamic pricing provides a workable solution to this truism.

Using real-time information
The hotel industry, like everything else, has entered its information age. Compared to years ago, when information about everything from competitors’ rates to booking pace to demand levels was tightly held by a select few gatekeepers, all of the information necessary to set the perfect rate is available to hoteliers at all times. Unfortunately, most hotels fail to adequately access this information, or if they do, fail to leverage it effectively. The best practice in information usage is exemplified by the advanced revenue management systems in place at some hotels, which constantly consults demand levels and monitors competing hotels’ rates and make adjustments to the rate being offered based on this real-time information.

The reason this valuable information is now widely available is, of course, the advent of internet sales. Because every hotel posts rates online through various sales portals, those rates can be monitored. Because an increasingly high percentage of room sales are made through the online sales channel, demand levels can be assessed minute to minute. And because hotels have unfettered access to this information through the web, they can act on it in a quick and decisive manner. To do this effectively, however, hotels need the right tools; most often, these tools are found in a comprehensive, automated revenue management system that can, among other things, accurately predict movements in hotel room price.

Price Prediction
Since revenue management involves a certain measure of prediction, it stands to reason that revenue management systems will draw from other industries where prediction is at the core of their business. Some revenue management systems incorporate option pricing principles to help generate optimal room rates. Other systems may also use primarily financial instruments to make predictions, or leverage emerging techniques like crowdsourcing or artificial markets. At any rate, the backwards-looking techniques currently in place at many hotels is fast becoming obsolete.

Predicting the direction of future prices may be a bit foreign to hotels, which often take a supply-side approach to rate setting. But the best practice in price prediction borrows from basic concepts in commodity and option pricing, which focuses almost exclusively on predicting what price the market will bear for a particular good in the near future. The hotel room, as a (relatively) uniform product with high perishability is as much a commodity as a bushel of corn. But as financial markets have mechanisms to determine the optimal price of a particular issue (futures markets, etc.), hotels often arbitrarily assign a rack rate, and (if they do) modify the rate presented to potential customers from there. A comprehensive revenue management system for hotels can set prices based on both historical considerations and current market conditions, giving it twice the range of more traditional pricing strategies.

Each of these best practices of revenue management- rate discipline, information usage, and price prediction- are integral to a comprehensive revenue management strategy. Like strategic pricing and the proper approach to revenue management in general, a hotel cannot operate to its fullest potential without engaging in the best practices outlined here. And while they may not be a magic bullet of lodging success, they can go a long way toward optimizing rates, generating positive and sustainable RevPAR, and gauging where rates ought to be in the near future – a key component of ongoing financial success.

Tags: , , , , , , ,
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments (2)

Pricing techniques

March 12th, 2010

Last year hotels have sold against a lower room rate then 2008. The selling rate for hotels was about 16% lower than previous year according to Hotels.com.

The current pricing strategy for many hotels is based on offering discounts, free nights, etc. These are efforts which will hurt your ADR and Revpar. According to a latest article in Reuters, Mariott has seen a dramatic decrease of the rate (about 19%) in the luxury collection. It has been mentioned that the luxury segment will not get back on their feet in the short term as market conditions have changed. In 2009 they have closed about 5,000 rooms, which is a normal fact. This year they will close over 6,000 rooms.

So what is the right strategy to follow for pricing your products? For this we have to go back a few years to find out how the business was selling at that time. Price differentiation is another technique and nothing to do with discounting but by adding value. To compete with your direct competitor we have added value to our product. Free transfers, free meals, spa vouchers, all to add value to your product. You get more for the USD of Thai Bath then when you spend it with the competitor. Added value will help you to keep your existing rate. In a normal market condition with inflation and a positive track record, hotels add 5- 10% to their room rate each year. A drop of 15%- 25%, due to discounting, in your rates, means you have to take another 3 years to recover from this. While if you add value in this year but keep the room rates, you can change your conditions the next year and keep a steady room rate.

Pricing and the internet

Still many hotels have not been able to utilize their website. The website is confusing and not focused on selling but on information. The prices are fixed and aren’t changed with the current situation in the market. Offers which you can get from 3rd party websites are not available on their own website. The implementation of Facebook and twitter has been made, but Tripadvisor has been forgotten.

The internet is a very important partner for your sales. As it is a dynamic medium you can update and alter at any given time. Because search engines enable customers to find information easy, your own website will be visited more once you are visible on third party websites.

The pricing strategy for this market is not really looked after by the management, and business is lost because of this. Intelligent pricing, based on supply and demand, value added offers and rate parity in all markets are key elements to lift your business.

To let your website work, investment is needed. As all future business derived from your website is commission free, there is money on the table if you not free budget for internet marketing activities. Carefully analyze your current market share and set your target for the next year, Take 3% from your current revenue retrieved from your direct internet business and invest this in improvements, optimizing your booking engine, pictures and a webmaster service. You will see that the incremental investment will pay off itself within the same year.

Tags: , , , , , , ,
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments (1)

The threat of OTA in rate control

November 11th, 2009

In an earlier blog, I have written about the Bill Board effect of the OTA (Online travel Agent) towards the Hotels. By having a representation on the OTA website, it will boost your room revenue and bookings because it works as an advertisement medium, stimulating the direct market on your own website.

In the recent press release of the largest American Hotel Owners Association, AAHOA, they have successfully  registered 10,000 members to appose against the strategies of the OTA’s.  The current involvement of an OTA is getting to strong o a Hotel owner has little control over it rate and allotments. In order to get business from companies as Expedia.com, Travelocity.com, Priceline, Lastminute.com, Hotwire, Orbitz, Lodging.com, etc. you have to give up a certain amount of freedom. They all will push you for rate parity, best rates and sufficient allotment to sell your property on a high ranking on their website. Leaving the hotel operators no choice, hence no influence in the own website rate to generate a steady occupancy.

AAHOA is therefore trying to persuade its members not to commit heavily with OTA’s as they become discounted shops, offering cheap rates. As competition is rising among the OTA’s, the hotel owner is left no space to handover the important decisions in order to flow with the rest of the market and their competition. The OTA is becoming almost a competitor it self, and not longer the competition is only the neighboring hotels in the area. The AAHOA is informing their members not give all control of rates and allotment in the hands of the OTA, as they will start controlling your business plan.

Two main points the AAHOA is stating in their press release, that they are against the control of the ATO over the last room availability. In many ways, they demand heavily discounted prices. While looking at the airliner industry, when it comes to closure, the rates are going up. Second, AAHOA is strongly against the control regulation a ATO is putting on hotels to not undersell the rooms on the hotels own website. By pushing for rate parity they would demand absolute rate control, even when a client is booking online with the hotel directly.

Where the traditional Wholesalers and travel agents have already lost market because of the upcoming .com industry, it seems that the Hoteliers have to unite to gain control over their own property.

Tags: , , , , , ,
Posted in Uncategorized | Comments (1)